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As the Pittsburgh Pirates enter their penultimate series of the 2026 season against the St. Louis Cardinals, the mathematical reality at PNC Park is absolute. Sitting third in the National League Central at 79-77, Pittsburgh has been officially eliminated from postseason contention. General manager Ben Cherington insists the organization made important progress in 2026, but after watching legitimate October hopes slip away during a late-season slide, the conversation has turned toward physical durability, bullpen collapses, and roster execution.

At the center of that conversation stands ace Paul Skenes. Facing the first prolonged turbulence of his major-league career, Skenes acknowledged that his participation in the World Baseball Classic contributed to his second-year pitching struggles. The extra workload and accelerated spring prep altered his baseline conditioning, leaving the right-hander searching for consistent pitch quality as the Pirates attempted to stay afloat in a competitive NL Central race.

Workload Friction and the WBC Factor

Skenes' admission comes after a sophomore campaign where his physical output couldn't consistently replicate the dominant standard of his debut season. Pitching in high-intensity environments during the World Baseball Classic forces starting pitchers into early-season peak condition, often creating fatigue bottlenecks when the MLB marathon reaches August and September. While critics may view the WBC connection with skepticism, the physical strain on a young power pitcher handling a high-leverage workload remains a tangible factor.

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Off the field, Skenes remained a focal point of national media attention alongside his girlfriend, former LSU gymnast Olivia Dunne. Earlier in the season, a lighthearted nine-second clip went viral when Dunne jokingly called out from the stands off the mound—begging for a photo and shouting, Hey Paul, I'm a huge fan... Can I have a picture? I'm a big fan. I love you, please, please, while Skenes maintained his game face and walked past. Yet while off-field fanfare continued, the on-field pitching drop-off highlighted the fine margin between frontline dominance and league-wide adjustment.

Late-Season Surges: Flores Jr. and Montgomery

While Skenes worked through his second-year adjustments and the Pirates bullpen suffered late-season breakdowns that made elimination feel inevitable, individual bright spots emerged down the stretch. Catcher Rafael Flores Jr. showcased why the coaching staff trusts him in high-leverage situations, providing late-game heroics during a recent series sweep of the Kansas City Royals.

Flores Jr. delivered the decisive blow in a 4-3 victory over Kansas City, launching a 426-foot, two-run home run off Nate Pearson in the eighth inning. The 25-year-old catcher has been on a tear, going 20-for-47 (.426) over a 13-game stretch to elevate his season numbers to a .286 batting average, .910 OPS, 10 home runs, and 22 RBI across 147 plate appearances. His fiery intensity and commitment to the club have quickly solidified his role in Pittsburgh's future catcher and designated hitter rotation.

Out of the bullpen, high-leverage reliever Mason Montgomery provided elite stability amidst wider late-inning collapses. Montgomery closed out the 4-3 win over Kansas City to earn his 16th save of the season, extending his scoreless streak to 23.2 innings. Over that dominant run, Montgomery surrendered just nine hits and seven walks while striking out 34 batters. Overall, the left-hander lowered his season ERA to 2.59 with a 1.03 WHIP and 99 strikeouts against 26 walks over 66 innings.

Offensive Adjustments and the 2027 Horizon

The Pirates also received encouraging signals from utility contributor Ronny Simon, who launched his first career major-league home run—a 104.7 mph line drive to left field—in a 6-5 win over the Royals. Simon has capitalized on limited opportunities, posting a .313 average with seven stolen bases across 52 plate appearances. Meanwhile, powerhouse slugger Oneil Cruz demonstrated crucial mechanical adjustments at the plate, continuing to combine his light-tower power with improved discipline.

Despite these individual strides, Cherington and the front office face immediate evaluation challenges ahead of 2027. The club's upcoming decision regarding Brandon Lowe represents the first major test of organizational ambition. With top prospects like pitcher Bubba Chandler and infielder Konnor Griffin advancing through the system, Pittsburgh must decide whether to aggressively supplement its core or rely primarily on internal progression.

With both Pittsburgh (79-77) and St. Louis eliminated from postseason contention, the final games of 2026 serve as an evaluation ground for young talent. Skenes' honest assessment of his workload fatigue provides a clear offseason roadmap: rebuilding baseline endurance, refining secondary pitch quality, and preparing for a 2027 campaign where playoff expectations will be non-negotiable in Pittsburgh.

Sources

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  2. ctkollectables.com original
  3. sportcards.com original
  4. marca.com original